When new consoles arrive, the current-ones still have a long shelf-life. Publisher Electronic Arts believes it’ll take 18-24 months before the current-gen consoles lose support, according to an interview with CVG.
“Historically the first year out most titles have been cross-gen,” EA’s Patrick Söderlund said, “then the second year there’s less and less, but in year three you’ll probably see everything apart from maybe one or two games in the industry on that end. So I think it will take about 18 to 24 months to get to full gen 4.”
Cross-gen titles, the games that arrive on both current- and next-gen consoles last as long as game publishers can make money off of them. The PlayStation 3 and Xbox 360 both have much larger install-bases than the new consoles will have for a few years, making it a worthy investment from publishers.
Eventually, though, the industry moves on. EA’s projects that will happen after roughly 2 years, which shows their level of confidence in the next-generation consoles.
The Xbox One will launch in November, and PlayStation 4 will launch sometime this holiday season.