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iPhone 5 Launch’s Large Outcome Predicted To Be Apple’s Last

by on September 21, 2012
 

Today the iPhone 5 launches and it has been a BIG success. Over 2 million devices were sold within the first 24 hours that the phone was available for pre-order. This number being over twice that of the iPhone 4S’ pre-sale orders within the first 24 hours. It’s even predicted that Apple will sell over 6.5 million iPhone 5’s this weekend. People really love the iPhone line it seems.

However, I’m not sure if you all have noticed a pattern or whether the shiny new phones each year keep you “blinded by the light”. Apple really hasn’t done anything innovative. Sure, they’ve made a quality device that works well, except for a few software mishaps, but Android is catching up fast and the iPhone line is coming past its prime.

Analyst Kevin Smithen of Macquarie Securities is not seeing the trend I spoke of, but he is seeing a trend. Smithen says that the number of people using smartphones is predicted to be 140 million by the end of this year. This number will represent 54% of all mobile users, and is predicted again to breach 70% next year. Smithen claims that 70% is the magic number, saying that this is where the decline in most telecommunication services started.

The smartphone market, and particularly the iPhone market, will slow next year after very strong shipments of the next iPhone through year-end. -Kevin Smithen

Other factors that will contribute to the decline of the iPhone are more restrictive upgrade measures. Mobile carriers have been beaten up so to speak by the last iPhone launch and so raised activation fees. Which CNN’s David Goldman said lead consumers to adopt to “tiered plans” like ATT’s shared data plan and also making contractual periods much longer.

Quite frankly, I would be happy to see the iPhone sales decline. Apple doesn’t deserve them, especially since they claim to be “innovative”. However, that will also mean less smartphone sales and Google is almost catching up to Apple. I’d hate to see them quit the race now.

What do you all think? Is the iPhone reaching its peak? Will sales of the iPhone decline over the years? What will it take for you to buy an iPhone 6?

Source: CNN

 

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  • September 21, 2012 at 9:51 AM

    Sounds to me like you need an iPhone 😛

    People have been predicting the end of Apple for the last 40 years and they are now the largest company on the planet and they got there by simply making the best products in their respective classes. iPhone has a much higher customer loyalty then any other phone and iPhone’s are currently being produced faster then people are being born. Developers are making way more money on iOS then Android and Android fragmentation/security issues are still a really big deal. i look at all the non iPhone smartphones as potential customers; most people who have used both Android side with iOS hands down. Obviously there are exceptions but i can tell you that my personal experience using android was quite unimpressive from a UI perspective. And i didn’t even mention the state of the tablet market.

    Fact is i don’t even own any iOS or Android device myself at this time but much like i wouldn’t waste my own money on a PC which loses basically 100% of its value the moment you open the box i wouldn’t ever own an Andorid phone unless one was given to me for free and even then i might prefer to pay up for an iPhone if for no other reason then Android is far less secure and being that its a phone can cause a bit more damage if its compromised then an ordinary computer.

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    • September 21, 2012 at 10:08 AM

      Sounds to me like you need a smartphone.

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      • September 21, 2012 at 10:19 AM

        sorta tempted now ill have to wait and see how much virgin and cricket want for the 5 and how much they will charge for the 4 and 4s now that the 5 is out. not going to get robbed by att verizon or sprint just to get a smartphone. i’ll probably wait till i need a new phone in any event.

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    • September 21, 2012 at 11:33 AM

      It’s true, Apple does a lot of things with the iPhone better than any other phone on the market. However, as I said Google IS catching up. Have you checked out Android 4.1 – Jelly Bean yet? That is one slick OS.

      I think my problem is with the company itself, and not the phone. Apple claims all of these things that the iPhone is not. They claim to be innovative and that the newest iPhone is the golden standard but the iPhone 5 is just the 4S, with a few tweaks. The iPhone WAS innovative when it first came out a few years ago, it was ahead of its time. Now, it’s at its peak or close to it and will soon fall behind if Apple doesn’t take things to the next level.

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  • September 21, 2012 at 1:47 PM

    i think where Apple has always claimed to be innovative was the whole package software plus hardware. for instance nobody pays way more more for a mac over a PC simply because they have better hardware (which they do generally speaking although not for gaming in some cases) i have not tried JB yet but then neither has the vast majority of current Android owners nor will they ever at least with their current phones:

    http://www.newshour24.com/2012/09/20/13148-CHART–Android-Has-A-Hardware-Fragmentation-Problem-Too.htm

    i would agree that apple can only live up to its reputation if it continues to push the limits. So far it has and the existing momentum could carry it quite far even if it didn’t have a 150 billion dollar war chest and some of the smartest and most dedicated tech people on the planet working for them.

    Not trying to be a fan boy all I’m saying is that they currently have the best phone & os on the market and if i were a betting man (which i certainly am) i wouldn’t be betting against them.

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